No guesswork, no recycled headlines — this comes straight from MLS-sourced data through RPR, current as of September 2026. Updated monthly.
Dawson County is still a seller's market — but right at the edge of balanced. Homes closed at a median of $422,500 at 97.3% of asking, with median days on market at 27 — faster than August. Months of inventory sit at 5.49 (+9.1% MoM, -1.6% YoY), a hair under RPR's 5.5 seller's cutoff. Worth noting: Dawson is a smaller market (50 closings this month), so don't over-read any single month — but supply is looser than August while pace on solds improved.
Dawson's median estimated value is $444,580 — soft MoM (-1%) and up 1.1% year-over-year. Months of supply at 5.49 jumped 9.1% MoM and is down just 1.6% YoY, with 346 actives on the board. That's still a seller-side reading by RPR's rule — but it's sitting on the balanced line, not deep in seller territory.
Median DOM improved to 27 days and sold-to-list held near 97.3%. New listings came on at a median list of $514,360 — still above the $422,500 median sold — so the gap between what's listed and what's closing is real. With only 50 closings and volume down sharply MoM, I'd watch a few months of trend, not one print alone.
New listings: 122 homes hit the market, median list price $514,360.
Went under contract: 58 homes, median list price $454,889 (35 new pending).
Closed: 50 homes sold for a median of $422,500 at 97.3% of asking price.
Total sales volume: $25.7M changed hands in Dawson County residential real estate last month.
Months of supply at 5.49 is right at the seller/balanced edge, sold-to-list near 97.3%, and a 27-day median DOM — still a workable position when you price honestly. Don't let a smaller sample size talk you into chasing the market down, but don't ignore the inventory climb either.
With MOI edging toward balanced and values still up YoY (+1.1%), sitting on the sidelines waiting for a deep discount isn't what the data supports. More actives and a faster sold DOM mean options exist — be ready when the right property hits.
I'd expect Dawson County to stay near the seller/balanced line through the rest of 2026. MOI at 5.49 plus a firm sold-to-list ratio still favors sellers who price right, especially on move-in-ready homes — but one more inventory bump could tip the reading. Modest value support looks more likely than a sharp pullback.
Given the smaller sample size here, I'd treat any single month as one data point — but estimated value still up YoY and sold-to-list near 97% still support sellers who price correctly.
I'll send you the real numbers for Dawson County — no fluff, no sales pitch, just what's actually happening — the moment I update this report.
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